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Baltimore at Denver Preview and free pick

January 13, 2013

 

Divisional round of the playoffs

When: 4:30 PM ET, Saturday, January 12, 2013
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado

LINE: Broncos -9.5, O/U 46

For the Ray Lewis retirement tour to continue, the Baltimore Ravens will have to overcome an imposing obstacle when they visit Peyton Manning and the top-seeded Denver Broncos on Saturday in the AFC divisional round. Manning, in his first season in Denver, guided the white-hot Broncos to 11 consecutive victories to close out the regular season. Among those wins was a dominating 34-17 rout of the Ravens in Baltimore less than a month ago – a game Denver led 31-3 after three quarters. It was Manning’s ninth straight victory over the Ravens.

Lewis returned from a 10-game absence to register a team-high 13 tackles and spark an emotional 24-9 victory over the Indianapolis Colts a week ago. Unlike the Broncos, Baltimore stumbled down the stretch and lost four of its final five games before beating the Colts and permitting its fewest points since a 13-10 victory at Pittsburgh in Week 11. Still, the once-vaunted defense remains susceptible, allowing Indianapolis to hold the ball for more than 37 minutes.

Denver has not lost since a 31-21 defeat at New England on Oct. 7. Much has been made about the lack of quality competition during the winning streak, but the Broncos limited Baltimore to 56 yards rushing and 278 total. Manning had a rather pedestrian performance, throwing for a season-low 204 yards and one touchdown. He finished the season with back-to-back three-touchdown games, giving him 37 TDs vs. only 11 interceptions. Wideouts Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker each went over 1,000 yards and combined to catch 23 scoring passes. Knowshon Moreno, who took over for an injured Willis McGahee in the final six weeks, rushed for 115 yards and a score against Baltimore. Denver’s defense, led by the pass-rushing tandem of linebacker Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil, has peaked down the stretch and surrendered only 45 points in its final four games.

 

Prediction

That was the score 1 month ago, that’ll be the score again. Yes, Ray Ray’s back, big tearful retirement – but he already played his final home game..,… So much camera face time, seemed like it was “In memorial” already. Plus, I just can’t pull the trigger against Manning at home, just like I can’t against Belichick & Brady

Denver -9.5

over46

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